CH09-02 lesson

Theoretical Probability Learning Activity

A focused Grade 7 learning session for Theoretical Probability using visual models, worked examples, strategy guidance, and a short mastery check.

15
minutes
6
lesson parts
11
practice items
Learning goal

Students will build Grade 7 mastery of theoretical probability using models, equations, and test-style reasoning.

Student goal: I can solve problems involving theoretical probability.

Helpful first: What Is Probability?
concept

Learn the Idea

Theoretical Probability is part of Grade 7 Probability. This activity focuses on the central idea students need before they move into independent practice.

Students will build Grade 7 mastery of theoretical probability using models, equations, and test-style reasoning.

visual model

See the Math

What to noticeHow to use it
Numbers, units, labels, diagrams, or graphsIdentify what each part represents before calculating.
The relationship in the problemConnect the model to an equation, comparison, or explanation.

Use the figures and worked questions in the practice set below as the visual model for this skill.

worked example

Follow a Worked Example

Read the first practice question slowly. Decide what the question is asking, choose a strategy, solve, and then compare your reasoning with the answer explanation.

For Theoretical Probability, a strong worked example should show the setup, the calculation or model, and a final answer that matches the context.

real world

Connect It to a Real Situation

Many Grade 7 test questions use real situations. Look for quantities, units, rates, measures, expressions, or data values that connect the math to the story.

After solving, explain what the answer means in the situation, not just the number you calculated.

strategy

Avoid Mistakes and Choose a Strategy

  • Underline the exact question before solving.
  • Label units, variables, or graph axes when they appear.
  • Estimate first so unreasonable answers are easier to catch.
  • Review missed questions and write the reason for each mistake.
summary

Remember the Key Idea

I can solve problems involving theoretical probability.

Use the warmup, guided question, practice set, and exit questions below to check whether this skill is ready or needs more practice.

Guided to independent practice

Solve before opening the answer

Use scratch paper. The explanation matters more than simply seeing whether the choice is correct.

warmup

2 questions
G7-C09-T02-Q001 About 1 min

A bag contains \(4\) red, \(5\) blue, and \(6\) green marbles. What is the theoretical probability of drawing a blue marble at random?

  1. A \(\frac{1}{5}\)
  2. B \(\frac{1}{3}\)
  3. C \(\frac{4}{15}\)
  4. D \(\frac{2}{5}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer B: \(\frac{1}{3}\)

Total \(=4+5+6=15\). \(P(\text{blue})=\frac{5}{15}=\frac{1}{3}\).

G7-C09-T02-Q002 About 1 min

A fair six-sided die is rolled once. What is the probability of rolling a number greater than \(4\)?

  1. A \(\frac{1}{6}\)
  2. B \(\frac{1}{3}\)
  3. C \(\frac{1}{2}\)
  4. D \(\frac{2}{3}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer B: \(\frac{1}{3}\)

Favorable outcomes: \(5, 6\) (two outcomes). Total outcomes: \(6\). \(P(\text{>4})=\frac{2}{6}=\frac{1}{3}\).

guided

1 question
G7-C09-T02-Q003 About 1 min

A spinner is divided into \(4\) equal sections: Red, Yellow, Blue, and Green. What is the probability of spinning Red or Green?

Theoretical Probability visual for G7-C09-T02-Q003
  1. A \(\frac{1}{4}\)
  2. B \(\frac{1}{2}\)
  3. C \(\frac{1}{3}\)
  4. D \(\frac{3}{4}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer B: \(\frac{1}{2}\)

Each section is \(\frac{1}{4}\). Red + Green \(= \frac{1}{4} + \frac{1}{4} = \frac{1}{2}\).

practice

5 questions
G7-C09-T02-Q004 About 1 min

A jar holds \(3\) yellow, \(4\) purple, and \(8\) orange tokens. If a token is drawn at random, what is the theoretical probability it is purple?

  1. A \(\frac{4}{15}\)
  2. B \(\frac{4}{12}\)
  3. C \(\frac{1}{4}\)
  4. D \(\frac{4}{8}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer A: \(\frac{4}{15}\)

Total tokens \(= 3 + 4 + 8 = 15\). \(P(\text{purple})=\frac{4}{15}\).

G7-C09-T02-Q005 About 1 min

A restaurant menu has \(12\) desserts: \(5\) chocolate, \(4\) fruit, and \(3\) cream-based. If you pick one at random, what is the probability of choosing a chocolate or cream-based dessert?

Theoretical Probability visual for G7-C09-T02-Q005
  1. A \(\frac{5}{12}\)
  2. B \(\frac{8}{12}\)
  3. C \(\frac{2}{3}\)
  4. D \(\frac{1}{2}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer C: \(\frac{2}{3}\)

Chocolate or cream-based: \(5 + 3 = 8\). \(P=\frac{8}{12}=\frac{2}{3}\).

G7-C09-T02-Q006 About 1 min

A fair coin is flipped. What is the theoretical probability of getting heads?

  1. A \(\frac{1}{4}\)
  2. B \(\frac{1}{3}\)
  3. C \(\frac{1}{2}\)
  4. D \(1\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer C: \(\frac{1}{2}\)

A fair coin has two equally likely outcomes: heads and tails. \(P(\text{heads})=\frac{1}{2}\).

G7-C09-T02-Q007 About 1 min

A bag contains \(6\) white socks and \(4\) black socks. A sock is drawn at random. What is the probability of drawing a white sock?

  1. A \(\frac{3}{5}\)
  2. B \(\frac{2}{5}\)
  3. C \(\frac{1}{2}\)
  4. D \(\frac{4}{6}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer A: \(\frac{3}{5}\)

Total socks \(= 6 + 4 = 10\). \(P(\text{white})=\frac{6}{10}=\frac{3}{5}\).

G7-C09-T02-Q008 About 1 min

A number cube is labeled with the numbers \(1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 3\). When rolled, what is the probability of rolling a \(3\)?

  1. A \(\frac{1}{3}\)
  2. B \(\frac{1}{2}\)
  3. C \(\frac{2}{3}\)
  4. D \(\frac{1}{6}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer B: \(\frac{1}{2}\)

Three faces show \(3\). Total faces: \(6\). \(P(\text{rolling } 3)=\frac{3}{6}=\frac{1}{2}\).

exit

3 questions
G7-C09-T02-Q009 About 1 min

A box contains cards numbered \(5\) through \(14\). A card is drawn at random. What is the probability of drawing a card with a number divisible by \(3\)?

  1. A \(\frac{1}{5}\)
  2. B \(\frac{3}{10}\)
  3. C \(\frac{2}{5}\)
  4. D \(\frac{1}{3}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer B: \(\frac{3}{10}\)

Numbers: \(5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14\) (10 total). Divisible by \(3\): \(6, 9, 12\) (3 outcomes). \(P=\frac{3}{10}\).

G7-C09-T02-Q010 About 1 min

A spinner has four equal sections labeled \(A, B, C, D\), where sections \(A\) and \(B\) are blue and sections \(C\) and \(D\) are red. What is the probability of landing on a red section?

Theoretical Probability visual for G7-C09-T02-Q010
  1. A \(\frac{1}{4}\)
  2. B \(\frac{1}{2}\)
  3. C \(\frac{2}{3}\)
  4. D \(\frac{3}{4}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer B: \(\frac{1}{2}\)

Red sections: \(C\) and \(D\) (2 out of 4). \(P(\text{red})=\frac{2}{4}=\frac{1}{2}\).

G7-C09-T02-Q011 About 1 min

A bag contains \(2\) dimes, \(3\) nickels, and \(5\) pennies. A coin is picked at random. What is the probability of not picking a penny?

  1. A \(\frac{3}{10}\)
  2. B \(\frac{5}{10}\)
  3. C \(\frac{7}{10}\)
  4. D \(\frac{1}{5}\)
Check answer and explanation

Answer B: \(\frac{5}{10}\)

Total coins \(= 2 + 3 + 5 = 10\). Non-penny coins \(= 2 + 3 = 5\). \(P(\text{not penny})=\frac{5}{10}=\frac{1}{2}\).

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